anyone lucky enough to get an FDA premarket tobac-
co application (PMTA) through,” acknowledges Ham-
mel. “That’s what is so ironic about the situation. We
early guys felt like this was a viable alternative for tobac-
co that we could be passionate about and not it will end
up being right back to Big Tobacco, which is what we
were so passionately steering people away from.”
Even if shops do opt to carry products made by the
companies best equipped to navigate the PMTA process
(i.e. Big Tobacco), the limited assortment likely to be
available probably won’t stock a vapor-only shop suffi-
ciently, noted Justin Wiesehan, VP of marketing at Mis-
tic Electronic Cigarettes. “Can you really justify keeping
a 1,500-square-foot store open to sell three brands?”
A HYBRID SOLUTION
Ultimately, the consolidation Herzog and others see
ahead spells opportunity for other retail channels that
sell vapor products, primarily c-stores and tobacco out-
lets, as vapor store customers seek alternatives to the sup-
pliers. “If you talk to distributors, they’re already seeing
it,” says John Wiesehan. “Retail has transitioned to a
hybrid model where selling tobacco, smoke and vape is
more prevalent than vape-only stores.”
The upshot? Vape shops that want to survive will
move into other categories of merchandise, such as tra-
ditional cigarettes or cannabis accessories, such as pipes
and CBD. “Some of them are starting to look at other
things,” says Bour. “The gateway to [cannabis] is CBD.
A fair number of vape shops are carrying CBD, which
will make for an easy transition to cannabis if and when
the time does come.”
Meanwhile, tobacco outlets and c-stores can capitalize
on the vapor store closures by expanding their selection
of vapor products. “That’s one of the reasons we started
working with Cosmic Fog,” notes John Wiesehan, who
noted that the partnership couples Mistic’s strength in
the mass-market retail channel with Cosmic Fog’s brand
recognition among vapers. “The idea behind our part-
nership with Cosmic Fog is to give the vape shop con-
sumer a recognizable brand that they’re used to seeing
on a mass retailer’s shelves.”
“Five years
down the road,
you’ll walk into
a store the size
of a Walgreens
and that’s where
you’ll go for your
vice of choice—
alcohol, tobacco,
CBD, cannabis.
Everything
will be highly
taxed, but the
store will be run
professionally.”
—NORM BOUR,
VAPEMENTORS
As opposed to broadened assortments, another pos-
sibility is that specialty stores will emerge. These may
be super vapor shops that emphasize service levels
that c-stores and tobacco shops can’t emulate. “Con-
sumer education is important in the vapor category
and it’s something the vapor channel has done very
well,” says David Bishop, managing partner of Balvor
LLC. “At a time when mixing stations may be going
away, offering that level of service may be the way
those stores can survive.”
Branded shops, akin to a Nike or Apple store, are
another possibility, noted Herzog, who pointed out that
Philip Morris used iQOS flagship stores to introduce its
heat-not-burn product to European consumers. “There
is a possibility that there will be freestanding iQOS stores
in the U.S.,” she notes. “They look like mini Apple Stores
and they’re fascinating in the engagement and education
of consumers.”
Of course, the fear is that rather than compromise
on what they really want—the products they’ve come
to enjoy—those consumers will turn to illicit sources
and a black market will emerge. Instructions on mixing
your own liquid and rigging up your own device are all
over the Internet, so it’s not a huge leap to imagine va-
pers finding ways to access or reproduce their preferred
product or a facsimile of it. The prospect of regulations
fostering a black market or DIY activity that will, if any-
thing, make vaping more risky is one of the many rea-
sons many see the deeming regulations as overly onerous
and dangerous to consumers.
But while there may initially be a period of illicit ac-
tivity, most in the industry say that the legal marketplace
will prevail over time.
As Justin Wiesehan notes, “Ultimately, price and con-
venience will win in this industry just like it does in every
other industry. If people can go to a zzzc-store or any
other store and get their a product that satisfies them for
a reasonable price, they will do that.”
TB
“There is a
possibility that
there will be
freestanding
iQOS stores in
the U.S. They
look like mini
Apple Stores.”
—BONNIE HERZOG,
WELLS FARGO
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