After the presidential election last November, a
Time
mag-
azine article said it was “a watershed year for weed.” That’s
because after November, “nearly a quarter of the U.S. popula-
tion lives in places where adult use [of pot] is legal.”
California, Massachusetts, Nevada and Maine approved
recreational marijuana, joining Colorado, Washington, Ore-
gon, Alaska and Washington, D.C. Florida, North Dakota,
Arkansas and Montana passed medical marijuana measures
last November; 28 states now have comprehensive medical
marijuana laws.
But upon checking into the newly passed recreational
marijuana states, only Nevada was actually selling cannabis at
press time.That’s because “testing becomes a serious issue,
and there’s a delay [in] launch in many cases,” says Bethany
Gomez, director of research for Brightfield Group, a cannabis-
focused market research firm. It takes about 18 months, on
average, from the time a state passes legislation legalizing
marijuana to the time of actual retail sales, according to
Gomez. “But not everyone has all their ducks in a row, so
sometimes it takes 12-18 months beyond that to ramp up
and where you see the very fast growth,” she adds. “As new
growth facilities are approved and crops are harvested and
they’re operating at full capacity, this is a very significant
ramp-up time. So, in California, the day after the election, you
saw consumers going to [medical marijuana] dispensaries
trying to buy, and they were not allowed.” Gomez further runs
down her perspective on some states:
California—
“They have had medical marijuana for almost
20 years, but it wasn’t finalized yet, so there are significant
delays as that will be built into the recreational market. It’s a
very complicated process.”
Massachusetts—
“They’re medical side is still ramping up,
so they are in the infancy phase with recreational. They’re
dragging their feet, so in Massachusetts we are not expect-
ing the recreational market [to] turn on as quickly as some of
the others.”
Nevada—
“They are clearly not dragging their feet; they have
been very transparent since they opened medical and now
recreational. They are very business-friendly; they are looking
for the tax dollars, jobs and revenue.”
Michigan—
One state people forget about is Michigan; it has
a very strong medical market. If they do vote for legalization, it
would probably be next year or shortly thereafter. It would be
a good state for tobacco stores to look into because there’s
not much of a distribution network in place.”
Other states with opportunities for tobacco/smoke shops
looking to get into the cannabis industry include the new-
ly legalized states like Massachusetts, she says. The estab-
lished states of Colorado, Washington and Oregon are very
established, and “there’s not much opportunity there.” Alaska
is too small for opportunity, she adds.
As more states legalize, “states around them—especially
now [on] the East Coas,—will see that being highly regulat-
ed is a better option than dealing with the black market,”
according to Bryan Meltzer, partner at New York-based
Feuerstein Kulick LLP, a cannabis-focused law firm. He also
expects that many eyes will be on California, slated to open
for recreational business on Jan. 1, 2018. “It will be the big-
gest market, by far, so that’s an important area to watch.”
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Grass
States
WA
OR
CA
AK
HI
MA
NJ
RI
DE
CT
MD
DC
CO
MT
AZ
NM
NE
ND
MN
NV
ME
NH
VT
NY
OH
FL
MS
AR
IL
PA
WV
NC
MO
States with medical marijuana laws
States that have removed jail time for possesing
small amounts of marijuana
States that have both medical marijuana laws and have
removed jail time for possesing small amounts of marijuana
States where marijuana is legal for adults and is taxed and regu-
lated similarly to alcohol; state also has a medical marijuana law